Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000927 1.061228e-03 0.001197 0.001344 0.001498 0.001654 0.001825
2025-06-29 0.000678 8.790309e-04 0.001092 0.001333 0.001594 0.001866 0.002170
2025-07-06 0.000525 7.759973e-04 0.001055 0.001381 0.001744 0.002131 0.002570
2025-07-13 0.000365 6.394980e-04 0.000963 0.001355 0.001804 0.002291 0.002853
2025-07-20 0.000235 5.154081e-04 0.000869 0.001314 0.001837 0.002415 0.003090
2025-07-27 0.000172 4.643888e-04 0.000855 0.001360 0.001963 0.002639 0.003434
2025-08-03 0.000111 4.006407e-04 0.000816 0.001369 0.002043 0.002806 0.003712
2025-08-10 0.000043 2.988290e-04 0.000713 0.001292 0.002014 0.002843 0.003838
2025-08-17 0.000011 2.333508e-04 0.000650 0.001258 0.002031 0.002931 0.004018
2025-08-24 NaN 1.662426e-04 0.000573 0.001198 0.002012 0.002972 0.004141
2025-08-31 NaN 1.286777e-04 0.000535 0.001187 0.002051 0.003078 0.004337
2025-09-07 NaN 1.095172e-04 0.000525 0.001213 0.002134 0.003236 0.004591
2025-09-14 NaN 7.246531e-05 0.000480 0.001195 0.002173 0.003356 0.004820
2025-09-21 NaN 4.694229e-05 0.000449 0.001199 0.002243 0.003516 0.005101
2025-09-28 NaN 3.677557e-05 0.000452 0.001252 0.002379 0.003758 0.005480
2025-10-05 NaN 1.541201e-05 0.000409 0.001232 0.002416 0.003880 0.005718
2025-10-12 NaN 1.719990e-06 0.000358 0.001195 0.002428 0.003970 0.005918
2025-10-19 NaN 7.711503e-08 0.000358 0.001240 0.002550 0.004195 0.006276
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001249 0.002623 0.004358 0.006560
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001175 0.002578 0.004371 0.006663
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000238 0.001143 0.002588 0.004452 0.006846
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.001086 0.002559 0.004482 0.006966
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000170 0.001075 0.002596 0.004594 0.007184